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In the first half of this year

[单选题]
In the first half of this year, from January to June, about three million videocassette recorders were sold. This number is only 35 percent of the total number of videocassette recorders sold last year. Therefore, total sales of videocassette recorders will almost certainly be lower for this year than they were for last year.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the conclusion above? 
  • The total number of videocassette recorders sold last year was lower
    than the total number sold in the year before that.
  • Typically, over 70 percent of the sales of videocassette recorders made
    in a year occur in the months of November and December.
  • Most people who are interested in owning a videocassette recorder have
    already purchased one.
  • Videocassette recorders are less expensive this year than they were last year.
  • Of the videocassette recorders sold last year, almost 60 percent were
    sold in January

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